The United Arab Emirates remains a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council as the April 30 deadline passes without any official withdrawal announcement, despite its abrupt exit from OPEC and OPEC+ announced on April 28—effective May 1—amid escalating tensions from Iranian missile strikes on UAE territory and criticism of GCC inaction. UAE officials have confirmed they are reviewing multilateral ties, including with the GCC, but explicitly ruled out further departures for now, fueling trader speculation tied to long-simmering disputes with Saudi Arabia over oil quotas and regional security postures. No scheduled GCC summits or votes loom immediately, leaving the market poised for "No" resolution barring late-breaking diplomatic ruptures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30?
$99,881 Vol.
$99,881 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$99,881 Vol.
$99,881 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United Arab Emirates remains a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council as the April 30 deadline passes without any official withdrawal announcement, despite its abrupt exit from OPEC and OPEC+ announced on April 28—effective May 1—amid escalating tensions from Iranian missile strikes on UAE territory and criticism of GCC inaction. UAE officials have confirmed they are reviewing multilateral ties, including with the GCC, but explicitly ruled out further departures for now, fueling trader speculation tied to long-simmering disputes with Saudi Arabia over oil quotas and regional security postures. No scheduled GCC summits or votes loom immediately, leaving the market poised for "No" resolution barring late-breaking diplomatic ruptures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$99,881End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United Arab Emirates remains a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council as the April 30 deadline passes without any official withdrawal announcement, despite its abrupt exit from OPEC and OPEC+ announced on April 28—effective May 1—amid escalating tensions from Iranian missile strikes on UAE territory and criticism of GCC inaction. UAE officials have confirmed they are reviewing multilateral ties, including with the GCC, but explicitly ruled out further departures for now, fueling trader speculation tied to long-simmering disputes with Saudi Arabia over oil quotas and regional security postures. No scheduled GCC summits or votes loom immediately, leaving the market poised for "No" resolution barring late-breaking diplomatic ruptures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$99,881End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The United Arab Emirates remains a member of the Gulf Cooperation Council as the April 30 deadline passes without any official withdrawal announcement, despite its abrupt exit from OPEC and OPEC+ announced on April 28—effective May 1—amid escalating tensions from Iranian missile strikes on UAE territory and criticism of GCC inaction. UAE officials have confirmed they are reviewing multilateral ties, including with the GCC, but explicitly ruled out further departures for now, fueling trader speculation tied to long-simmering disputes with Saudi Arabia over oil quotas and regional security postures. No scheduled GCC summits or votes loom immediately, leaving the market poised for "No" resolution barring late-breaking diplomatic ruptures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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