Alabama's open Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features Republican nominee Barry Moore against Democrat Everett Wess. Moore secured the nomination after winning the June 2026 Republican runoff, benefiting from strong party infrastructure and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing double-digit leads for Moore consistent with Alabama's electoral history. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the absence of late-cycle disruptions. A Republican victory could face challenges from an unforeseen scandal, significant polling error, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
96%
Démocrate
5%
$12,304 Vol.
$12,304 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$6,733 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$5,571 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features Republican nominee Barry Moore against Democrat Everett Wess. Moore secured the nomination after winning the June 2026 Republican runoff, benefiting from strong party infrastructure and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing double-digit leads for Moore consistent with Alabama's electoral history. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the absence of late-cycle disruptions. A Republican victory could face challenges from an unforeseen scandal, significant polling error, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$12,304Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's open Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features Republican nominee Barry Moore against Democrat Everett Wess. Moore secured the nomination after winning the June 2026 Republican runoff, benefiting from strong party infrastructure and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing double-digit leads for Moore consistent with Alabama's electoral history. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the absence of late-cycle disruptions. A Republican victory could face challenges from an unforeseen scandal, significant polling error, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,304Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's open Senate seat, vacated by incumbent Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid, features Republican nominee Barry Moore against Democrat Everett Wess. Moore secured the nomination after winning the June 2026 Republican runoff, benefiting from strong party infrastructure and the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing double-digit leads for Moore consistent with Alabama's electoral history. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals and the absence of late-cycle disruptions. A Republican victory could face challenges from an unforeseen scandal, significant polling error, or unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes