Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voter registration and voting history that favor GOP candidates in general elections. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean faces a primary challenge but benefits from the seat's solid Republican ratings across forecasting outlets ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent redistricting left the district boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its electoral profile. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged, yet fundraising and structural factors continue to position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-04 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
79%
Parti démocrate
19%
$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,745 Vol.
79%
Parti démocrate
$5,167 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voter registration and voting history that favor GOP candidates in general elections. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean faces a primary challenge but benefits from the seat's solid Republican ratings across forecasting outlets ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent redistricting left the district boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its electoral profile. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged, yet fundraising and structural factors continue to position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$11,912Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voter registration and voting history that favor GOP candidates in general elections. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean faces a primary challenge but benefits from the seat's solid Republican ratings across forecasting outlets ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent redistricting left the district boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its electoral profile. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged, yet fundraising and structural factors continue to position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,912Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voter registration and voting history that favor GOP candidates in general elections. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean faces a primary challenge but benefits from the seat's solid Republican ratings across forecasting outlets ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent redistricting left the district boundaries largely unchanged, preserving its electoral profile. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged, yet fundraising and structural factors continue to position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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