Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026 (40.5% implied probability), with 115-139 close behind (27.5%), signaling expectations of sustained high-volume activity akin to his 2024 surge averaging 80-120 daily posts amid political fervor and X platform dominance. This positioning reflects historical patterns where Musk's output spikes during cultural flashpoints like Tesla unveils or SpaceX milestones but moderates on weekends, positioning lower ranges like 65-89 (17%) as credible underdogs if global events quiet. Recent developments, including his DOGE advisory role rumors under a potential Trump administration and record 2024 tweet tallies exceeding 40,000, bolster optimism for elevated counts, though burnout or algorithm tweaks could cap extremes beyond 140.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour90-114 41%
115-139 28%
65-89 17%
140-164 7.3%
$701,561 Vol.
$701,561 Vol.
<40
<1%
40-64
2%
65-89
17%
90-114
41%
115-139
28%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 41%
115-139 28%
65-89 17%
140-164 7.3%
$701,561 Vol.
$701,561 Vol.
<40
<1%
40-64
2%
65-89
17%
90-114
41%
115-139
28%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026 (40.5% implied probability), with 115-139 close behind (27.5%), signaling expectations of sustained high-volume activity akin to his 2024 surge averaging 80-120 daily posts amid political fervor and X platform dominance. This positioning reflects historical patterns where Musk's output spikes during cultural flashpoints like Tesla unveils or SpaceX milestones but moderates on weekends, positioning lower ranges like 65-89 (17%) as credible underdogs if global events quiet. Recent developments, including his DOGE advisory role rumors under a potential Trump administration and record 2024 tweet tallies exceeding 40,000, bolster optimism for elevated counts, though burnout or algorithm tweaks could cap extremes beyond 140.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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