Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on April 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 5?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 19%
84-85°F 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
73°F or below
$800 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$320 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$392 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$360 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$521 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$965 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$322 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$241 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$269 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$321 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,846Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,846Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment splits evenly between 80-81°F and 82-83°F outcomes at 35.5% implied probabilities each, driven by National Weather Service guidance and ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models projecting Miami's April 5 high near 81°F amid moderate uncertainty. Persistent east-southeast winds at 10-15 mph have capped recent highs in the low 80s by enhancing sea breeze circulation, which cools inland areas, while isolated diurnal showers add variability through cloud cover. Historical early-April climatology averages 82°F at Miami International Airport, aligning with sunnier scenarios lacking morning convection. New NWS forecast discussions expected twice daily and model refreshes every six hours could refine sea breeze timing and precipitation chances, potentially tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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