Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13-18°C for Munich's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating mild highs near 14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and light southerly winds. German Weather Service (DWD) models corroborate this, projecting 12-16°C amid low cloud cover probabilities below 30%, differentiating lower outcomes like 11°C or below. Historical March averages hover at 11°C max, but recent +2°C anomalies from Atlantic warmth tilt odds upward; key uncertainty stems from potential overnight cold advection, with upcoming 00Z runs potentially shifting the 14°C lead as boundary layer forecasts refine. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 25 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 25 mars ?
14°C 23%
13°C 20%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
9°C ou moins
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
23%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C ou plus
2%
14°C 23%
13°C 20%
15°C 19%
16°C 18%
9°C ou moins
2%
10°C
12%
11°C
14%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
23%
15°C
19%
16°C
18%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13-18°C for Munich's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating mild highs near 14°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and light southerly winds. German Weather Service (DWD) models corroborate this, projecting 12-16°C amid low cloud cover probabilities below 30%, differentiating lower outcomes like 11°C or below. Historical March averages hover at 11°C max, but recent +2°C anomalies from Atlantic warmth tilt odds upward; key uncertainty stems from potential overnight cold advection, with upcoming 00Z runs potentially shifting the 14°C lead as boundary layer forecasts refine. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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