Latest forecast ensembles from global models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high temperature near 30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 28–31°C outcomes with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability. Early April showers recently capped highs at 27–28°C amid cloudy conditions, but a shift to partly sunny skies and high humidity—evident in April 10–12 forecasts of 29–30°C—supports potential peaks in this range. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 28–29°C, versus sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting to 30–31°C; southerly sea breezes add cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover at 27°C, but this warmer setup reflects seasonal progression. Watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 11–12 for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground airport data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
29°C 31%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
31%
30°C
23%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
10%
29°C 31%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$418 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,021 Vol.
1%
24°C
$366 Vol.
1%
25°C
$343 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,316 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,822 Vol.
2%
28°C
$608 Vol.
21%
29°C
$163 Vol.
31%
30°C
$115 Vol.
23%
31°C
$128 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$212 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high temperature near 30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 28–31°C outcomes with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability. Early April showers recently capped highs at 27–28°C amid cloudy conditions, but a shift to partly sunny skies and high humidity—evident in April 10–12 forecasts of 29–30°C—supports potential peaks in this range. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 28–29°C, versus sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting to 30–31°C; southerly sea breezes add cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover at 27°C, but this warmer setup reflects seasonal progression. Watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 11–12 for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$6,453Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast ensembles from global models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high temperature near 30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 28–31°C outcomes with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability. Early April showers recently capped highs at 27–28°C amid cloudy conditions, but a shift to partly sunny skies and high humidity—evident in April 10–12 forecasts of 29–30°C—supports potential peaks in this range. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 28–29°C, versus sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting to 30–31°C; southerly sea breezes add cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover at 27°C, but this warmer setup reflects seasonal progression. Watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 11–12 for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,453Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from global models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high temperature near 30°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 13, fueling trader sentiment clustered around 28–31°C outcomes with 29°C leading at 30% implied probability. Early April showers recently capped highs at 27–28°C amid cloudy conditions, but a shift to partly sunny skies and high humidity—evident in April 10–12 forecasts of 29–30°C—supports potential peaks in this range. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover suppressing solar insolation to favor 28–29°C, versus sustained sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting to 30–31°C; southerly sea breezes add cooling uncertainty. Historical mid-April averages hover at 27°C, but this warmer setup reflects seasonal progression. Watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 11–12 for shifts ahead of resolution via Wunderground airport data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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