Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 9, projects a maximum temperature around 30°C on April 13 under mainly fine skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment toward warmer outcomes amid above-normal seasonal temperatures for April 2026. Yet with 29°C (37%) edging 28°C (31.5%), the closely matched leading probabilities reflect inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, as ensemble models show spread from sea breeze moderation and isolated showers potentially capping peaks at urban sites like the Observatory. Historical April maxima average 27°C, but recent warming trends and ridge aloft favor highs in the upper 20s to low 30s; watch daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official daily max readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
29°C 37%
28°C 34%
27°C 16.3%
30°C 13%
$16,379 Vol.
$16,379 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
34%
29°C
37%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
6%
29°C 37%
28°C 34%
27°C 16.3%
30°C 13%
$16,379 Vol.
$16,379 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
34%
29°C
37%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 9, projects a maximum temperature around 30°C on April 13 under mainly fine skies and light winds, driving trader sentiment toward warmer outcomes amid above-normal seasonal temperatures for April 2026. Yet with 29°C (37%) edging 28°C (31.5%), the closely matched leading probabilities reflect inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, as ensemble models show spread from sea breeze moderation and isolated showers potentially capping peaks at urban sites like the Observatory. Historical April maxima average 27°C, but recent warming trends and ridge aloft favor highs in the upper 20s to low 30s; watch daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution via official daily max readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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