Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF converge on a maximum temperature of 23-25°C for Cape Town on April 11, positioning 24°C (41.5% market-implied probability) as trader consensus amid mild autumn conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Southerly winds at 10-20 km/h and partial cloud cover moderate coastal warming, with morning temperatures around 18-20°C rising to peak mid-afternoon before possible isolated showers. This aligns with April climatological averages of 23°C at Cape Town International Airport, reinforced by model updates over the past 24 hours showing low intensification risk. Inherent daily forecast uncertainty remains, with SAWS hourly observations determining final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 11 avril ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 11 avril ?
24°C 50%
25°C 25%
23°C 6%
26°C <1%
$3,831 Vol.
$3,831 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 25%
23°C 6%
26°C <1%
$3,831 Vol.
$3,831 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
29%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF converge on a maximum temperature of 23-25°C for Cape Town on April 11, positioning 24°C (41.5% market-implied probability) as trader consensus amid mild autumn conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Southerly winds at 10-20 km/h and partial cloud cover moderate coastal warming, with morning temperatures around 18-20°C rising to peak mid-afternoon before possible isolated showers. This aligns with April climatological averages of 23°C at Cape Town International Airport, reinforced by model updates over the past 24 hours showing low intensification risk. Inherent daily forecast uncertainty remains, with SAWS hourly observations determining final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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