Japan Meteorological Agency observations and real-time data from Wunderground at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 25°C earlier today under a high-pressure ridge bringing mild spring warmth, with peak surface readings stabilizing there amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this verified peak, consistent with updated forecast models showing no potential for 26°C or higher as diurnal cooling sets in after sunset. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge from sudden clearing skies and adiabatic warming, but current meteorological conditions make this exceedingly unlikely. Final daily summary expected from JMA by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 11?
$229,107 Vol.
$229,107 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
$229,107 Vol.
$229,107 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
25°C
$19,339 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$32,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations and real-time data from Wunderground at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 25°C earlier today under a high-pressure ridge bringing mild spring warmth, with peak surface readings stabilizing there amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this verified peak, consistent with updated forecast models showing no potential for 26°C or higher as diurnal cooling sets in after sunset. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge from sudden clearing skies and adiabatic warming, but current meteorological conditions make this exceedingly unlikely. Final daily summary expected from JMA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$229,107Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency observations and real-time data from Wunderground at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 25°C earlier today under a high-pressure ridge bringing mild spring warmth, with peak surface readings stabilizing there amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this verified peak, consistent with updated forecast models showing no potential for 26°C or higher as diurnal cooling sets in after sunset. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge from sudden clearing skies and adiabatic warming, but current meteorological conditions make this exceedingly unlikely. Final daily summary expected from JMA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$229,107Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency observations and real-time data from Wunderground at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 25°C earlier today under a high-pressure ridge bringing mild spring warmth, with peak surface readings stabilizing there amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting solar heating. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this verified peak, consistent with updated forecast models showing no potential for 26°C or higher as diurnal cooling sets in after sunset. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge from sudden clearing skies and adiabatic warming, but current meteorological conditions make this exceedingly unlikely. Final daily summary expected from JMA by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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