Météo-France's latest midday forecast models project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today, April 11, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and possible brief showers that suppress solar heating. This shift from earlier weekly outlooks predicting highs near 24–26°C reflects rapid updates from ensemble model runs incorporating fresh observational data, aligning with current conditions around 11–12°C and historical April averages of 16°C. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 18°C or below underscores this robust scientific agreement from France's national meteorological service. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies and strong insolation this afternoon, though model uncertainty remains low with resolution pending official end-of-day measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$182,782 Vol.
$182,782 Vol.
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.6%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$182,782 Vol.
$182,782 Vol.
18°C or below
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest midday forecast models project a maximum temperature of 15°C in Paris today, April 11, driven by a passing frontal system ushering in cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and possible brief showers that suppress solar heating. This shift from earlier weekly outlooks predicting highs near 24–26°C reflects rapid updates from ensemble model runs incorporating fresh observational data, aligning with current conditions around 11–12°C and historical April averages of 16°C. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability for 18°C or below underscores this robust scientific agreement from France's national meteorological service. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies and strong insolation this afternoon, though model uncertainty remains low with resolution pending official end-of-day measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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