Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward 14°C (38%) and 15°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes for Paris's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting a cool air mass advected by northerly flow behind a passing frontal system. Persistent cloud cover and 50% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation, capping highs below the April climatological average of 16°C, with mostly cloudy conditions expected per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 16°C odds (16%) via enhanced solar heating, versus thicker overcast or showers favoring 13-14°C; medium predictability arises from model spread on frontal timing. Hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris station overnight could refine trader positions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 12 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 12 avril ?
14°C 36%
15°C 32%
16°C 19%
13°C 7%
$35,301 Vol.
$35,301 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
7%
14°C
36%
15°C
32%
16°C
19%
17°C
4%
18°C ou plus
2%
14°C 36%
15°C 32%
16°C 19%
13°C 7%
$35,301 Vol.
$35,301 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$954 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$3,244 Vol.
1%
12°C
$3,039 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5,125 Vol.
7%
14°C
$3,398 Vol.
36%
15°C
$2,702 Vol.
32%
16°C
$2,278 Vol.
19%
17°C
$2,678 Vol.
4%
18°C ou plus
$8,200 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward 14°C (38%) and 15°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes for Paris's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting a cool air mass advected by northerly flow behind a passing frontal system. Persistent cloud cover and 50% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation, capping highs below the April climatological average of 16°C, with mostly cloudy conditions expected per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 16°C odds (16%) via enhanced solar heating, versus thicker overcast or showers favoring 13-14°C; medium predictability arises from model spread on frontal timing. Hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris station overnight could refine trader positions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,301Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward 14°C (38%) and 15°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes for Paris's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting a cool air mass advected by northerly flow behind a passing frontal system. Persistent cloud cover and 50% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation, capping highs below the April climatological average of 16°C, with mostly cloudy conditions expected per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 16°C odds (16%) via enhanced solar heating, versus thicker overcast or showers favoring 13-14°C; medium predictability arises from model spread on frontal timing. Hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris station overnight could refine trader positions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,301Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward 14°C (38%) and 15°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes for Paris's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting a cool air mass advected by northerly flow behind a passing frontal system. Persistent cloud cover and 50% precipitation chances limit daytime insolation, capping highs below the April climatological average of 16°C, with mostly cloudy conditions expected per Météo-France guidance. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 16°C odds (16%) via enhanced solar heating, versus thicker overcast or showers favoring 13-14°C; medium predictability arises from model spread on frontal timing. Hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris station overnight could refine trader positions before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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