Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 14°C high in London on April 12, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting split signals in the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts amid lingering uncertainty from a recent frontal shift. After high pressure delivered record early-April warmth peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens three days ago, low pressure now dominates, ushering rain clearing to sunny intervals, blustery west-southwesterly winds gusting to 30 mph, and afternoon showers with 40-60% odds. Met Office models cap the peak at 14°C around 2-4 p.m. under variable cloud, while BBC eyes 15°C if sunny spells prevail longer; key differentiators include shower timing and cloud opacity suppressing or allowing insolation to breach 15°C. Hourly updates from the Met Office this afternoon will sharpen resolution before observations begin at dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 12 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 12 avril ?
14°C 47%
15°C 36%
13°C 13%
16°C 6.7%
$72,240 Vol.
$72,240 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
13%
14°C
47%
15°C
36%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 47%
15°C 36%
13°C 13%
16°C 6.7%
$72,240 Vol.
$72,240 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
$6,945 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$7,782 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,414 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$9,702 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,633 Vol.
3%
13°C
$8,063 Vol.
13%
14°C
$4,690 Vol.
47%
15°C
$5,552 Vol.
36%
16°C
$6,370 Vol.
7%
17°C
$4,649 Vol.
1%
18°C ou plus
$6,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 14°C high in London on April 12, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting split signals in the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts amid lingering uncertainty from a recent frontal shift. After high pressure delivered record early-April warmth peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens three days ago, low pressure now dominates, ushering rain clearing to sunny intervals, blustery west-southwesterly winds gusting to 30 mph, and afternoon showers with 40-60% odds. Met Office models cap the peak at 14°C around 2-4 p.m. under variable cloud, while BBC eyes 15°C if sunny spells prevail longer; key differentiators include shower timing and cloud opacity suppressing or allowing insolation to breach 15°C. Hourly updates from the Met Office this afternoon will sharpen resolution before observations begin at dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$72,240Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 14°C high in London on April 12, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting split signals in the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts amid lingering uncertainty from a recent frontal shift. After high pressure delivered record early-April warmth peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens three days ago, low pressure now dominates, ushering rain clearing to sunny intervals, blustery west-southwesterly winds gusting to 30 mph, and afternoon showers with 40-60% odds. Met Office models cap the peak at 14°C around 2-4 p.m. under variable cloud, while BBC eyes 15°C if sunny spells prevail longer; key differentiators include shower timing and cloud opacity suppressing or allowing insolation to breach 15°C. Hourly updates from the Met Office this afternoon will sharpen resolution before observations begin at dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,240Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 44% implied probability for a 14°C high in London on April 12, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 34.5%, reflecting split signals in the latest Met Office and BBC forecasts amid lingering uncertainty from a recent frontal shift. After high pressure delivered record early-April warmth peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens three days ago, low pressure now dominates, ushering rain clearing to sunny intervals, blustery west-southwesterly winds gusting to 30 mph, and afternoon showers with 40-60% odds. Met Office models cap the peak at 14°C around 2-4 p.m. under variable cloud, while BBC eyes 15°C if sunny spells prevail longer; key differentiators include shower timing and cloud opacity suppressing or allowing insolation to breach 15°C. Hourly updates from the Met Office this afternoon will sharpen resolution before observations begin at dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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