Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 60-61°F high temperature in New York City today at Central Park— the official NOAA measurement site—with 98.1% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow range after this morning's 7:13 AM EDT Area Forecast Discussion. Clear skies under a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds have allowed morning lows near 51°F to climb steadily, but cool mid-level air (500 mb temperatures 15-20°F below April norms) and weak warm-air advection cap peak warming around midday to early afternoon. Ensemble guidance from GFS and NAM shows minimal spread, with historical analogs for similar setups confirming low-60s maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating pushing 62°F+ or an unanticipated wind shift, though probabilities remain under 2%; hourly observations through sunset will finalize the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
60-61°F 99.4%
68-69°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$173,009 Vol.
$173,009 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
99%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 99.4%
68-69°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$173,009 Vol.
$173,009 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
59°F or below
$38,986 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$21,628 Vol.
99%
62-63°F
$25,058 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$15,255 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$32,212 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$6,125 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$7,773 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$7,714 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,846 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,409 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$8,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 60-61°F high temperature in New York City today at Central Park— the official NOAA measurement site—with 98.1% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow range after this morning's 7:13 AM EDT Area Forecast Discussion. Clear skies under a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds have allowed morning lows near 51°F to climb steadily, but cool mid-level air (500 mb temperatures 15-20°F below April norms) and weak warm-air advection cap peak warming around midday to early afternoon. Ensemble guidance from GFS and NAM shows minimal spread, with historical analogs for similar setups confirming low-60s maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating pushing 62°F+ or an unanticipated wind shift, though probabilities remain under 2%; hourly observations through sunset will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$173,009Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 60-61°F high temperature in New York City today at Central Park— the official NOAA measurement site—with 98.1% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow range after this morning's 7:13 AM EDT Area Forecast Discussion. Clear skies under a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds have allowed morning lows near 51°F to climb steadily, but cool mid-level air (500 mb temperatures 15-20°F below April norms) and weak warm-air advection cap peak warming around midday to early afternoon. Ensemble guidance from GFS and NAM shows minimal spread, with historical analogs for similar setups confirming low-60s maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating pushing 62°F+ or an unanticipated wind shift, though probabilities remain under 2%; hourly observations through sunset will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$173,009Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 60-61°F high temperature in New York City today at Central Park— the official NOAA measurement site—with 98.1% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow range after this morning's 7:13 AM EDT Area Forecast Discussion. Clear skies under a high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds have allowed morning lows near 51°F to climb steadily, but cool mid-level air (500 mb temperatures 15-20°F below April norms) and weak warm-air advection cap peak warming around midday to early afternoon. Ensemble guidance from GFS and NAM shows minimal spread, with historical analogs for similar setups confirming low-60s maxima. Realistic challenges include prolonged intense solar heating pushing 62°F+ or an unanticipated wind shift, though probabilities remain under 2%; hourly observations through sunset will finalize the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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