MetService's latest forecast, updated late April 11, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 20°C, with occasional morning rain becoming persistent and heavy around midday before easing, accompanied by strong northeasterlies turning to gale-force southerlies gusting up to 90 km/h. This scenario anchors trader sentiment, with market-implied odds favoring 19°C (37.5%) slightly over 20°C (27.5%) and 18°C (21.0%), reflecting uncertainty in frontal system timing amid Heavy Rain and Strong Wind Watches that carry moderate upgrade risk. Key differentiators include morning cloud cover duration—prolonged overcast suppressing solar heating to 18-19°C—or delayed precipitation enabling brief midday peaks near 20°C, against April's climatological average high of 16°C. Next forecast update due at 10am April 12 may refine model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 12?
19°C 38%
20°C 28%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$46,824 Vol.
$46,824 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
38%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
3%
19°C 38%
20°C 28%
18°C 21%
21°C 13%
$46,824 Vol.
$46,824 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
38%
20°C
28%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
MetService's latest forecast, updated late April 11, projects Wellington's highest temperature on April 12 at 20°C, with occasional morning rain becoming persistent and heavy around midday before easing, accompanied by strong northeasterlies turning to gale-force southerlies gusting up to 90 km/h. This scenario anchors trader sentiment, with market-implied odds favoring 19°C (37.5%) slightly over 20°C (27.5%) and 18°C (21.0%), reflecting uncertainty in frontal system timing amid Heavy Rain and Strong Wind Watches that carry moderate upgrade risk. Key differentiators include morning cloud cover duration—prolonged overcast suppressing solar heating to 18-19°C—or delayed precipitation enabling brief midday peaks near 20°C, against April's climatological average high of 16°C. Next forecast update due at 10am April 12 may refine model consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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