Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver today, reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting upper 60s amid a brief cooldown from recent record warmth. Current observations already show readings reaching the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light north winds shifting southwesterly, per the latest Area Forecast Discussion, surpassing the April 11 normal of 61°F while building on March's record average highs. Model consensus highlights limited surface heating inhibition despite a 50% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with low-level moisture and urban convergence supporting convective activity but not enough to suppress peak temperatures below 60°F. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy cloud cover or an unexpected outflow boundary capping diurnal heating, though current trajectories and high forecast confidence make sub-60°F outcomes improbable as observations continue through sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$144,804 Vol.
$144,804 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.9%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$144,804 Vol.
$144,804 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
50-51°F
$5,726 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$3,693 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$3,775 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$10,847 Vol.
<1%
60°F or higher
$112,770 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver today, reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting upper 60s amid a brief cooldown from recent record warmth. Current observations already show readings reaching the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light north winds shifting southwesterly, per the latest Area Forecast Discussion, surpassing the April 11 normal of 61°F while building on March's record average highs. Model consensus highlights limited surface heating inhibition despite a 50% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with low-level moisture and urban convergence supporting convective activity but not enough to suppress peak temperatures below 60°F. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy cloud cover or an unexpected outflow boundary capping diurnal heating, though current trajectories and high forecast confidence make sub-60°F outcomes improbable as observations continue through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$144,804Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver today, reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting upper 60s amid a brief cooldown from recent record warmth. Current observations already show readings reaching the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light north winds shifting southwesterly, per the latest Area Forecast Discussion, surpassing the April 11 normal of 61°F while building on March's record average highs. Model consensus highlights limited surface heating inhibition despite a 50% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with low-level moisture and urban convergence supporting convective activity but not enough to suppress peak temperatures below 60°F. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy cloud cover or an unexpected outflow boundary capping diurnal heating, though current trajectories and high forecast confidence make sub-60°F outcomes improbable as observations continue through sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$144,804Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver today, reflecting strong alignment with National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting upper 60s amid a brief cooldown from recent record warmth. Current observations already show readings reaching the upper 60s under partly cloudy skies with light north winds shifting southwesterly, per the latest Area Forecast Discussion, surpassing the April 11 normal of 61°F while building on March's record average highs. Model consensus highlights limited surface heating inhibition despite a 50% chance of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, with low-level moisture and urban convergence supporting convective activity but not enough to suppress peak temperatures below 60°F. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy cloud cover or an unexpected outflow boundary capping diurnal heating, though current trajectories and high forecast confidence make sub-60°F outcomes improbable as observations continue through sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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