Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing spread and clusters around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow, driving tight implied probabilities for 18°C (23.5%) and 19°C (20.5%). The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued April 11 evening, projects a daytime maximum of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (10–20%), but traders discount this due to persistent cloud cover suppressing peaks and historical April variability where highs average 17–19°C. Differentiating factors include cloud breaks allowing solar heating for 19–20°C versus overcast conditions capping at 17–18°C; expect resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations, with final KMA updates overnight potentially shifting sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 12 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul le 12 avril ?
18°C 26%
19°C 17%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
$127,223 Vol.
$127,223 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
13%
18°C
26%
19°C
17%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C ou plus
1%
18°C 26%
19°C 17%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
$127,223 Vol.
$127,223 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
14°C ou moins
$21,851 Vol.
3%
15°C
$16,855 Vol.
4%
16°C
$10,672 Vol.
10%
17°C
$7,114 Vol.
13%
18°C
$6,149 Vol.
26%
19°C
$8,511 Vol.
17%
20°C
$6,622 Vol.
12%
21°C
$11,558 Vol.
8%
22°C
$14,102 Vol.
2%
23°C
$10,158 Vol.
2%
24°C ou plus
$13,942 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing spread and clusters around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow, driving tight implied probabilities for 18°C (23.5%) and 19°C (20.5%). The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued April 11 evening, projects a daytime maximum of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (10–20%), but traders discount this due to persistent cloud cover suppressing peaks and historical April variability where highs average 17–19°C. Differentiating factors include cloud breaks allowing solar heating for 19–20°C versus overcast conditions capping at 17–18°C; expect resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations, with final KMA updates overnight potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$127,223Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing spread and clusters around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow, driving tight implied probabilities for 18°C (23.5%) and 19°C (20.5%). The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued April 11 evening, projects a daytime maximum of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (10–20%), but traders discount this due to persistent cloud cover suppressing peaks and historical April variability where highs average 17–19°C. Differentiating factors include cloud breaks allowing solar heating for 19–20°C versus overcast conditions capping at 17–18°C; expect resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations, with final KMA updates overnight potentially shifting sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$127,223Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in forecast models for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing spread and clusters around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow, driving tight implied probabilities for 18°C (23.5%) and 19°C (20.5%). The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast, issued April 11 evening, projects a daytime maximum of 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation odds (10–20%), but traders discount this due to persistent cloud cover suppressing peaks and historical April variability where highs average 17–19°C. Differentiating factors include cloud breaks allowing solar heating for 19–20°C versus overcast conditions capping at 17–18°C; expect resolution based on Incheon International Airport observations, with final KMA updates overnight potentially shifting sentiment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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