Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%), 35°C (32.5%), and 33°C (27.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting genuine uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 33–35°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. Recent NiMet bulletins and observations show daily maxima hovering around 32–34°C over the past week, driven by the April transition from dry to wet season, persistent solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lagos amplifying surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—early onshore flow could moderate to 33°C, while delays or minimal cloud cover favor 34–35°C—against April climatological averages near 32°C. NiMet's final daily update expected April 11 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Lagos le 12 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Lagos le 12 avril ?
33°C 35%
34°C 33%
35°C 27%
32°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 avr. 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
24%
33°C
35%
34°C
41%
35°C
27%
36°C
13%
37°C ou plus
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 33%
35°C 27%
32°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 avr. 2026
27°C ou moins
$726 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$504 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$484 Vol.
1%
30°C
$458 Vol.
4%
31°C
$433 Vol.
3%
32°C
$20 Vol.
24%
33°C
$12 Vol.
35%
34°C
$11 Vol.
41%
35°C
$11 Vol.
27%
36°C
$41 Vol.
13%
37°C ou plus
$485 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%), 35°C (32.5%), and 33°C (27.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting genuine uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 33–35°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. Recent NiMet bulletins and observations show daily maxima hovering around 32–34°C over the past week, driven by the April transition from dry to wet season, persistent solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lagos amplifying surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—early onshore flow could moderate to 33°C, while delays or minimal cloud cover favor 34–35°C—against April climatological averages near 32°C. NiMet's final daily update expected April 11 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,185Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%), 35°C (32.5%), and 33°C (27.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting genuine uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 33–35°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. Recent NiMet bulletins and observations show daily maxima hovering around 32–34°C over the past week, driven by the April transition from dry to wet season, persistent solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lagos amplifying surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—early onshore flow could moderate to 33°C, while delays or minimal cloud cover favor 34–35°C—against April climatological averages near 32°C. NiMet's final daily update expected April 11 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,185Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 34°C (36.5%), 35°C (32.5%), and 33°C (27.0%) for Lagos's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting genuine uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project afternoon peaks of 33–35°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds. Recent NiMet bulletins and observations show daily maxima hovering around 32–34°C over the past week, driven by the April transition from dry to wet season, persistent solar insolation, and urban heat island effects in Lagos amplifying surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—early onshore flow could moderate to 33°C, while delays or minimal cloud cover favor 34–35°C—against April climatological averages near 32°C. NiMet's final daily update expected April 11 will sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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