National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 56°F on April 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light east winds of 5-10 mph promoting solar heating from current morning readings near 37°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, showing a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest limiting cold air advection. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 46°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, consistent with April climatological normals around 57°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged cloudiness and capping highs below 46°F, though current upper-air patterns and recent observational trends make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through evening for final resolution based on official NOAA maximum temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 11 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 11 avril ?
46°F ou plus 99.5%
44-45°F <1%
42-43 °F <1%
38-39 °F <1%
$116,116 Vol.
$116,116 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
38-39 °F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43 °F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46°F ou plus
100%
46°F ou plus 99.5%
44-45°F <1%
42-43 °F <1%
38-39 °F <1%
$116,116 Vol.
$116,116 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
38-39 °F
$4,973 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,784 Vol.
<1%
42-43 °F
$12,582 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$13,007 Vol.
<1%
46°F ou plus
$63,403 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 56°F on April 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light east winds of 5-10 mph promoting solar heating from current morning readings near 37°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, showing a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest limiting cold air advection. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 46°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, consistent with April climatological normals around 57°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged cloudiness and capping highs below 46°F, though current upper-air patterns and recent observational trends make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through evening for final resolution based on official NOAA maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$116,116Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 56°F on April 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light east winds of 5-10 mph promoting solar heating from current morning readings near 37°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, showing a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest limiting cold air advection. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 46°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, consistent with April climatological normals around 57°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged cloudiness and capping highs below 46°F, though current upper-air patterns and recent observational trends make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through evening for final resolution based on official NOAA maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$116,116Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago O'Hare International Airport project a high temperature of 56°F on April 11, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light east winds of 5-10 mph promoting solar heating from current morning readings near 37°F. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, showing a stable high-pressure ridge over the Midwest limiting cold air advection. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 46°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, consistent with April climatological normals around 57°F. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or stalled frontal boundary causing prolonged cloudiness and capping highs below 46°F, though current upper-air patterns and recent observational trends make this improbable; monitor hourly updates through evening for final resolution based on official NOAA maximum temperature.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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