Trader consensus strongly backs 74°F or higher (91.5% implied probability) for Chicago's highest temperature on April 13, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 75–78°F under a potent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly winds and warm air advection into the Midwest. Recent clearing after flood-inducing rains through April 11 has stabilized the atmosphere, well above April 13 climatological normals of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. While ensembles show tight agreement, realistic challenges include a 5–10°F model spread from unforecast cloudiness or an early cold front; monitor 12Z/00Z model runs and NWS updates Saturday for shifts ahead of Sunday's peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
74°F or higher 92%
72-73°F 7.3%
70-71°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$36,285 Vol.
$36,285 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
92%
74°F or higher 92%
72-73°F 7.3%
70-71°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$36,285 Vol.
$36,285 Vol.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly backs 74°F or higher (91.5% implied probability) for Chicago's highest temperature on April 13, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles forecasting highs of 75–78°F under a potent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly winds and warm air advection into the Midwest. Recent clearing after flood-inducing rains through April 11 has stabilized the atmosphere, well above April 13 climatological normals of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, where official observations resolve the market. While ensembles show tight agreement, realistic challenges include a 5–10°F model spread from unforecast cloudiness or an early cold front; monitor 12Z/00Z model runs and NWS updates Saturday for shifts ahead of Sunday's peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes