Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 19°C (32%) as the leading outcome for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, closely trailed by 18°C (25%) and 20°C (24%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) forecast of an 18°C maximum under overcast conditions at Beijing Capital International Airport, where the market resolves. This follows today's warmer 25°C high amid clearing skies, but a spring frontal system brings persistent cloud cover and southeast winds (under 12 km/h), suppressing solar insolation and favoring sub-20°C peaks per most models. Divergence arises from ensemble spreads where partial clearing or stronger southerly advection could yield 20°C, while thicker clouds lock in 18°C; typical 24-hour forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C underscores the tight race, with final CMA updates and morning observations pivotal before afternoon peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 34%
20°C 24%
18°C 24%
21°C 12%
$19,681 Vol.
$19,681 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
24%
19°C
34%
20°C
24%
21°C
12%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 24%
18°C 24%
21°C 12%
$19,681 Vol.
$19,681 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
13°C or below
$2,517 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,215 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,587 Vol.
4%
18°C
$768 Vol.
24%
19°C
$842 Vol.
34%
20°C
$932 Vol.
24%
21°C
$881 Vol.
12%
22°C
$1,147 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$4,092 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 19°C (32%) as the leading outcome for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, closely trailed by 18°C (25%) and 20°C (24%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) forecast of an 18°C maximum under overcast conditions at Beijing Capital International Airport, where the market resolves. This follows today's warmer 25°C high amid clearing skies, but a spring frontal system brings persistent cloud cover and southeast winds (under 12 km/h), suppressing solar insolation and favoring sub-20°C peaks per most models. Divergence arises from ensemble spreads where partial clearing or stronger southerly advection could yield 20°C, while thicker clouds lock in 18°C; typical 24-hour forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C underscores the tight race, with final CMA updates and morning observations pivotal before afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$19,681Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 19°C (32%) as the leading outcome for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, closely trailed by 18°C (25%) and 20°C (24%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) forecast of an 18°C maximum under overcast conditions at Beijing Capital International Airport, where the market resolves. This follows today's warmer 25°C high amid clearing skies, but a spring frontal system brings persistent cloud cover and southeast winds (under 12 km/h), suppressing solar insolation and favoring sub-20°C peaks per most models. Divergence arises from ensemble spreads where partial clearing or stronger southerly advection could yield 20°C, while thicker clouds lock in 18°C; typical 24-hour forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C underscores the tight race, with final CMA updates and morning observations pivotal before afternoon peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,681Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 19°C (32%) as the leading outcome for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, closely trailed by 18°C (25%) and 20°C (24%), reflecting the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) forecast of an 18°C maximum under overcast conditions at Beijing Capital International Airport, where the market resolves. This follows today's warmer 25°C high amid clearing skies, but a spring frontal system brings persistent cloud cover and southeast winds (under 12 km/h), suppressing solar insolation and favoring sub-20°C peaks per most models. Divergence arises from ensemble spreads where partial clearing or stronger southerly advection could yield 20°C, while thicker clouds lock in 18°C; typical 24-hour forecast uncertainty of ±1-2°C underscores the tight race, with final CMA updates and morning observations pivotal before afternoon peak heating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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