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Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14?

21°C 30%

20°C 29%

19°C 16%

22°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

21°C 30%

20°C 29%

19°C 16%

22°C 15%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

15°C or below

$5 Vol.

7%

16°C

$12 Vol.

8%

17°C

$12 Vol.

8%

18°C

$8 Vol.

10%

19°C

$32 Vol.

16%

20°C

$0 Vol.

29%

21°C

$13 Vol.

30%

22°C

$0 Vol.

15%

23°C

$0 Vol.

7%

24°C

$0 Vol.

7%

25°C or higher

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Wuhan on April 14, propelled by a northerly airflow advecting cooler continental air masses, persistent cloud cover, and 70-87% precipitation probabilities from patchy rain and showers that suppress diurnal heating. This cooling trend follows warmer highs of 23-25°C on April 12-13, with northerly winds at 5-7 mph reinforcing the dip below the mid-April climatological average of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source. Trader sentiment ties 16°C and 17°C at 44% implied odds due to model spread on exact cloud persistence and shower timing, while 21°C at 29% reflects upside risk if breaks appear; fresh model runs expected April 13 could shift the balance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68
Date de fin
14 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models point to a maximum temperature near 17°C in Wuhan on April 14, propelled by a northerly airflow advecting cooler continental air masses, persistent cloud cover, and 70-87% precipitation probabilities from patchy rain and showers that suppress diurnal heating. This cooling trend follows warmer highs of 23-25°C on April 12-13, with northerly winds at 5-7 mph reinforcing the dip below the mid-April climatological average of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's resolution source. Trader sentiment ties 16°C and 17°C at 44% implied odds due to model spread on exact cloud persistence and shower timing, while 21°C at 29% reflects upside risk if breaks appear; fresh model runs expected April 13 could shift the balance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68
Date de fin
14 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 21°C » à 30%, suivi de « 20°C » à 29%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14? » est « 21°C » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 20°C » à 29%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 14? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.