The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
22°C or higher 95.5%
21°C 3.3%
20°C 3.0%
19°C 1.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
96%
22°C or higher 95.5%
21°C 3.3%
20°C 3.0%
19°C 1.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
12°C or below
$129 Vol.
1%
13°C
$73 Vol.
1%
14°C
$79 Vol.
1%
15°C
$74 Vol.
1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
1%
17°C
$84 Vol.
1%
18°C
$74 Vol.
1%
19°C
$83 Vol.
2%
20°C
$68 Vol.
3%
21°C
$43 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$70 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$776Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$776Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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