Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher (98.6%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 12, backed by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 25-27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies during the late dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, April climatology typically delivers average highs near 26°C, with current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing tight agreement and low dispersion in projected maxima. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no disruptive cold fronts or monsoon precursors, solidifying this positioning. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected northerly winds ushering cooler Pacific air or isolated afternoon showers capping peaks below 23°C, though upper-atmosphere ridging minimizes such risks; hourly observations from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 98.6%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,437 Vol.
$15,437 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
99%
23°C or higher 98.6%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,437 Vol.
$15,437 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
16°C
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$631 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$969 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$806 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,874 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$2,215 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher (98.6%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 12, backed by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 25-27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies during the late dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, April climatology typically delivers average highs near 26°C, with current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing tight agreement and low dispersion in projected maxima. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no disruptive cold fronts or monsoon precursors, solidifying this positioning. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected northerly winds ushering cooler Pacific air or isolated afternoon showers capping peaks below 23°C, though upper-atmosphere ridging minimizes such risks; hourly observations from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$15,437Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher (98.6%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 12, backed by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 25-27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies during the late dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, April climatology typically delivers average highs near 26°C, with current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing tight agreement and low dispersion in projected maxima. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no disruptive cold fronts or monsoon precursors, solidifying this positioning. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected northerly winds ushering cooler Pacific air or isolated afternoon showers capping peaks below 23°C, though upper-atmosphere ridging minimizes such risks; hourly observations from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,437Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher (98.6%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 12, backed by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), projecting daytime highs of 25-27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies during the late dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, April climatology typically delivers average highs near 26°C, with current model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS showing tight agreement and low dispersion in projected maxima. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no disruptive cold fronts or monsoon precursors, solidifying this positioning. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected northerly winds ushering cooler Pacific air or isolated afternoon showers capping peaks below 23°C, though upper-atmosphere ridging minimizes such risks; hourly observations from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve the market by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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