Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, projecting the April 12 high temperature around 23-24°C under overcast skies, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin forecasting a maximum of 24°C and minimum of 17°C. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer stability and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover, following partly cloudy conditions on April 11 that capped highs near 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning—ECMWF slightly warmer at 24°C versus GFS leaning 23°C—and potential for variable low-level moisture; China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty before resolution. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context amid spring warming trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 16%
25°C 11.5%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
33%
24°C
28%
25°C
12%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 28%
22°C 16%
25°C 11.5%
$15,911 Vol.
$15,911 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
18°C or below
$1,340 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,191 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,972 Vol.
2%
21°C
$799 Vol.
8%
22°C
$377 Vol.
16%
23°C
$552 Vol.
33%
24°C
$625 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,436 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,543 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,440 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, projecting the April 12 high temperature around 23-24°C under overcast skies, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin forecasting a maximum of 24°C and minimum of 17°C. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer stability and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover, following partly cloudy conditions on April 11 that capped highs near 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning—ECMWF slightly warmer at 24°C versus GFS leaning 23°C—and potential for variable low-level moisture; China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty before resolution. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context amid spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$15,911Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, projecting the April 12 high temperature around 23-24°C under overcast skies, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin forecasting a maximum of 24°C and minimum of 17°C. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer stability and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover, following partly cloudy conditions on April 11 that capped highs near 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning—ECMWF slightly warmer at 24°C versus GFS leaning 23°C—and potential for variable low-level moisture; China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty before resolution. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context amid spring warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,911Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, projecting the April 12 high temperature around 23-24°C under overcast skies, aligning with the Hong Kong Observatory's latest bulletin forecasting a maximum of 24°C and minimum of 17°C. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing consistent boundary layer stability and reduced insolation from persistent cloud cover, following partly cloudy conditions on April 11 that capped highs near 23°C. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud thinning—ECMWF slightly warmer at 24°C versus GFS leaning 23°C—and potential for variable low-level moisture; China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty before resolution. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context amid spring warming trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes