Met Office forecasts pin London's highest temperature on April 11 at around 14–15°C, driving the market's 95.7% implied probability for 14°C as traders weigh observational data from stations like Northolt, where yesterday's maximum hit 14.3°C amid similar conditions. Following the early April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C on April 8, cooler Atlantic air has ushered in breezy southwest winds gusting to 35 mph, morning rain clearing to sunny intervals and isolated showers, capping daytime peaks per hourly model guidance updated midday. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine boosting to 15°C or persistent cloud and showers dropping below 13°C, with real-time updates from official monitoring expected through evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 11?
Highest temperature in London on April 11?
14°C 98.4%
15°C 1.6%
16°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$253,074 Vol.
$253,074 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
98%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 98.4%
15°C 1.6%
16°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$253,074 Vol.
$253,074 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
98%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts pin London's highest temperature on April 11 at around 14–15°C, driving the market's 95.7% implied probability for 14°C as traders weigh observational data from stations like Northolt, where yesterday's maximum hit 14.3°C amid similar conditions. Following the early April heatwave peaking at 26.5°C on April 8, cooler Atlantic air has ushered in breezy southwest winds gusting to 35 mph, morning rain clearing to sunny intervals and isolated showers, capping daytime peaks per hourly model guidance updated midday. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine boosting to 15°C or persistent cloud and showers dropping below 13°C, with real-time updates from official monitoring expected through evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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