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Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?

80°F or higher 85%

78-79°F 10.5%

76-77°F 1.7%

74-75°F 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,562 Vol.

80°F or higher 85%

78-79°F 10.5%

76-77°F 1.7%

74-75°F 1.4%

Polymarket

$20,562 Vol.

61°F or below

$2,132 Vol.

<1%

62-63°F

$2,695 Vol.

<1%

64-65°F

$2,353 Vol.

<1%

66-67°F

$2,159 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$3,337 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$2,971 Vol.

1%

72-73°F

$2,620 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$298 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$611 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$820 Vol.

11%

80°F or higher

$565 Vol.

85%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Houston's highest temperature on April 13 at William P. Hobby Airport in the low to mid-80s°F, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas that enhances subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting humid Gulf air. Over the past 48 hours, updated model runs have trended drier with lower precipitation odds (20-40%) than earlier projections, reducing cloud cover risks that could otherwise cap highs below 80°F—explaining the secondary 12.6% on 78-79°F. Current upper-air patterns and recent highs near 80°F on April 11 support this consensus, though isolated showers remain a key uncertainty; watch evening model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,562
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Houston's highest temperature on April 13 at William P. Hobby Airport in the low to mid-80s°F, driving the 84.5% market-implied probability for 80°F or higher as traders price in a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas that enhances subsidence warming and southerly winds advecting humid Gulf air. Over the past 48 hours, updated model runs have trended drier with lower precipitation odds (20-40%) than earlier projections, reducing cloud cover risks that could otherwise cap highs below 80°F—explaining the secondary 12.6% on 78-79°F. Current upper-air patterns and recent highs near 80°F on April 11 support this consensus, though isolated showers remain a key uncertainty; watch evening model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,562
Date de fin
13 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Houston on April 13? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 80°F or higher » à 85%, suivi de « 78-79°F » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 85¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Houston on April 13? » a généré $20.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Houston on April 13? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Houston on April 13? » est « 80°F or higher » à 85%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 85% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 78-79°F » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Houston on April 13? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.