National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 80°F for Houston on April 12 under partly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas maintains warm advection and subsidence, consistent with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and April climatological normals around 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as denser cloud cover or convective outbreaks potentially capping peaks—scenarios dropping below 74°F would require an unforeseen shift in steering patterns or cold air intrusion, unforeshadowed in current guidance; watch the 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 97.2%
72-73°F 1.9%
70-71°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$15,806 Vol.
$15,806 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
97%
74°F or higher 97.2%
72-73°F 1.9%
70-71°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$15,806 Vol.
$15,806 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
55°F or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,223 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$928 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,070 Vol.
2%
74°F or higher
$2,566 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 80°F for Houston on April 12 under partly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas maintains warm advection and subsidence, consistent with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and April climatological normals around 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as denser cloud cover or convective outbreaks potentially capping peaks—scenarios dropping below 74°F would require an unforeseen shift in steering patterns or cold air intrusion, unforeshadowed in current guidance; watch the 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volume
$15,806Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 80°F for Houston on April 12 under partly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas maintains warm advection and subsidence, consistent with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and April climatological normals around 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as denser cloud cover or convective outbreaks potentially capping peaks—scenarios dropping below 74°F would require an unforeseen shift in steering patterns or cold air intrusion, unforeshadowed in current guidance; watch the 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon maximums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,806Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 80°F for Houston on April 12 under partly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, driving the market-implied 97% probability for 74°F or higher as trader consensus reflects strong model agreement from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas maintains warm advection and subsidence, consistent with recent highs in the upper 70s to low 80s and April climatological normals around 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as denser cloud cover or convective outbreaks potentially capping peaks—scenarios dropping below 74°F would require an unforeseen shift in steering patterns or cold air intrusion, unforeshadowed in current guidance; watch the 12Z model runs for refinements ahead of afternoon maximums.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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