Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Wellington International Airport station, driven by MetService hourly observations confirming a midday peak near this mark under initially clear conditions, followed by rapid cooling to 17–18°C amid strengthening southerly winds gusting to 37 km/h and increasing high cloud cover. This aligns with autumn climatology for the region, where daily highs average 16–18°C, and model consensus from NIWA and MetService anticipated limited warming potential due to cool air advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing and downslope warming before sunset, though low solar angle and persistent winds make temperatures exceeding 20°C improbable; final daily records expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$194,218 Vol.
$194,218 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$194,218 Vol.
$194,218 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 20°C at Wellington International Airport station, driven by MetService hourly observations confirming a midday peak near this mark under initially clear conditions, followed by rapid cooling to 17–18°C amid strengthening southerly winds gusting to 37 km/h and increasing high cloud cover. This aligns with autumn climatology for the region, where daily highs average 16–18°C, and model consensus from NIWA and MetService anticipated limited warming potential due to cool air advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing and downslope warming before sunset, though low solar angle and persistent winds make temperatures exceeding 20°C improbable; final daily records expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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