Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C today amid persistent sunny skies and a stable high-pressure system, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with 100% implied probability. This exceeds earlier CWA forecasts of 28–31°C, as light westerly winds and low humidity (around 53%) fostered greater daytime heating than anticipated, consistent with April's climatological potential for highs up to 33°C during clear periods despite monthly averages near 25°C. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon surge from further cloud clearing, though diurnal cooling typically sets in by evening; final CWA daily data expected soon will lock resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 100.0%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$149,783 Vol.
$149,783 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
36°C or higher <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$149,783 Vol.
$149,783 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature reached 33°C today amid persistent sunny skies and a stable high-pressure system, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with 100% implied probability. This exceeds earlier CWA forecasts of 28–31°C, as light westerly winds and low humidity (around 53%) fostered greater daytime heating than anticipated, consistent with April's climatological potential for highs up to 33°C during clear periods despite monthly averages near 25°C. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-afternoon surge from further cloud clearing, though diurnal cooling typically sets in by evening; final CWA daily data expected soon will lock resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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