Central Weather Administration forecasts partly clear skies over Taipei on April 12, with daytime highs reaching 31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability. This aligns with recent model consensus from CWA's numerical weather prediction, showing a rebound from today's cloudy conditions capping highs at 26°C, driven by subsiding high-pressure systems promoting daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C (totaling ~81%) due to historical April averages near 27°C but above-normal warmth from reduced humidity and solar insolation under clearer conditions. Uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or sea breeze moderation; updated evening forecasts from CWA could refine odds before resolution via official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 39%
32°C 24%
30°C 21%
29°C 8.9%
$59,522 Vol.
$59,522 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
39%
32°C
24%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 39%
32°C 24%
30°C 21%
29°C 8.9%
$59,522 Vol.
$59,522 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
39%
32°C
24%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration forecasts partly clear skies over Taipei on April 12, with daytime highs reaching 31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market favorite at 37.5% implied probability. This aligns with recent model consensus from CWA's numerical weather prediction, showing a rebound from today's cloudy conditions capping highs at 26°C, driven by subsiding high-pressure systems promoting daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters around 30–32°C (totaling ~81%) due to historical April averages near 27°C but above-normal warmth from reduced humidity and solar insolation under clearer conditions. Uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or sea breeze moderation; updated evening forecasts from CWA could refine odds before resolution via official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes