National Weather Service forecasts, drawing from high-resolution NAM and GFS model ensembles, project a high temperature of 48-52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12 under mostly sunny skies and light east winds around 5-10 mph, yielding a 99.6% market-implied probability for 44°F or higher. This strong consensus reflects 24-hour stability in guidance following a recent mild frontal passage, with upper-level ridging promoting warm advection well above seasonal norms of 58°F. Trader sentiment underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in aggregating these reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include unanticipated Lake Michigan moderation or a surprise convective outflow dropping peaks below 44°F, though probabilities remain under 1%; final hourly observations from NOAA will resolve the market by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chicago le 12 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Chicago le 12 avril ?
44°F ou plus 99.6%
42-43°F <1%
30-31 °F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$148,235 Vol.
$148,235 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
25°F ou moins
<1%
26-27°F
<1%
28-29°F
<1%
30-31 °F
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41 °F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44°F ou plus
100%
44°F ou plus 99.6%
42-43°F <1%
30-31 °F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$148,235 Vol.
$148,235 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
25°F ou moins
$11,152 Vol.
<1%
26-27°F
$5,965 Vol.
<1%
28-29°F
$10,793 Vol.
<1%
30-31 °F
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$8,292 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$10,793 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$9,443 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$8,801 Vol.
<1%
40-41 °F
$10,627 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$28,956 Vol.
<1%
44°F ou plus
$33,081 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts, drawing from high-resolution NAM and GFS model ensembles, project a high temperature of 48-52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12 under mostly sunny skies and light east winds around 5-10 mph, yielding a 99.6% market-implied probability for 44°F or higher. This strong consensus reflects 24-hour stability in guidance following a recent mild frontal passage, with upper-level ridging promoting warm advection well above seasonal norms of 58°F. Trader sentiment underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in aggregating these reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include unanticipated Lake Michigan moderation or a surprise convective outflow dropping peaks below 44°F, though probabilities remain under 1%; final hourly observations from NOAA will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$148,235Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts, drawing from high-resolution NAM and GFS model ensembles, project a high temperature of 48-52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12 under mostly sunny skies and light east winds around 5-10 mph, yielding a 99.6% market-implied probability for 44°F or higher. This strong consensus reflects 24-hour stability in guidance following a recent mild frontal passage, with upper-level ridging promoting warm advection well above seasonal norms of 58°F. Trader sentiment underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in aggregating these reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include unanticipated Lake Michigan moderation or a surprise convective outflow dropping peaks below 44°F, though probabilities remain under 1%; final hourly observations from NOAA will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$148,235Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts, drawing from high-resolution NAM and GFS model ensembles, project a high temperature of 48-52°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 12 under mostly sunny skies and light east winds around 5-10 mph, yielding a 99.6% market-implied probability for 44°F or higher. This strong consensus reflects 24-hour stability in guidance following a recent mild frontal passage, with upper-level ridging promoting warm advection well above seasonal norms of 58°F. Trader sentiment underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in aggregating these reliable short-range projections. Realistic challenges include unanticipated Lake Michigan moderation or a surprise convective outflow dropping peaks below 44°F, though probabilities remain under 1%; final hourly observations from NOAA will resolve the market by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes