Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,197 Vol.
$85,197 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,197 Vol.
$85,197 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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