Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for 20°C as Milan's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 19°C at 29.5%, reflecting latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it and 3B Meteo projecting afternoon peaks of 20-21°C amid irregular cloud cover and a weakening high-pressure ridge over Lombardy. Morning observations near 12°C at Milano Linate Airport are warming under mild southerly flows and partial sunshine, boosting potential above April's historical average high of 18°C, though scattered clouds limit insolation and cap extremes. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this range, with resolution hinging on official hourly station data through evening; watch for cloud break developments in coming hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 12?
20°C 40%
19°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 3.7%
$32,072 Vol.
$32,072 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
31%
20°C
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 40%
19°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 3.7%
$32,072 Vol.
$32,072 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
31%
20°C
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 39.5% implied probability for 20°C as Milan's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 19°C at 29.5%, reflecting latest forecasts from Italian services like IlMeteo.it and 3B Meteo projecting afternoon peaks of 20-21°C amid irregular cloud cover and a weakening high-pressure ridge over Lombardy. Morning observations near 12°C at Milano Linate Airport are warming under mild southerly flows and partial sunshine, boosting potential above April's historical average high of 18°C, though scattered clouds limit insolation and cap extremes. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles support this range, with resolution hinging on official hourly station data through evening; watch for cloud break developments in coming hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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