Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and numerical model ensembles showing highs clustered in the mid-50s amid lingering cool Canadian air following a recent upper-level trough. The GFS and ECMWF models exhibit modest spread of 2-3°F, driven by differences in boundary-layer mixing from northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph and variable low-level clouds limiting diurnal heating, with climatological April highs averaging 60°F providing context for this below-normal outlook. No precipitation is expected, but final 00Z model runs tonight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 29%
52-53°F 18.1%
58-59°F 8%
$35,168 Vol.
$35,168 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
47°F or below
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
36%
56-57°F
29%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 36%
56-57°F 29%
52-53°F 18.1%
58-59°F 8%
$35,168 Vol.
$35,168 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
47°F or below
$4,199 Vol.
1%
48-49°F
$2,091 Vol.
1%
50-51°F
$2,732 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$2,549 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$2,844 Vol.
36%
56-57°F
$2,206 Vol.
29%
58-59°F
$3,038 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$5,574 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$2,404 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,989 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$5,593 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and numerical model ensembles showing highs clustered in the mid-50s amid lingering cool Canadian air following a recent upper-level trough. The GFS and ECMWF models exhibit modest spread of 2-3°F, driven by differences in boundary-layer mixing from northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph and variable low-level clouds limiting diurnal heating, with climatological April highs averaging 60°F providing context for this below-normal outlook. No precipitation is expected, but final 00Z model runs tonight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,168Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and numerical model ensembles showing highs clustered in the mid-50s amid lingering cool Canadian air following a recent upper-level trough. The GFS and ECMWF models exhibit modest spread of 2-3°F, driven by differences in boundary-layer mixing from northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph and variable low-level clouds limiting diurnal heating, with climatological April highs averaging 60°F providing context for this below-normal outlook. No precipitation is expected, but final 00Z model runs tonight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,168Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 54-55°F (34.5%) and 56-57°F (27.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on April 12, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and numerical model ensembles showing highs clustered in the mid-50s amid lingering cool Canadian air following a recent upper-level trough. The GFS and ECMWF models exhibit modest spread of 2-3°F, driven by differences in boundary-layer mixing from northwest winds gusting 15-20 mph and variable low-level clouds limiting diurnal heating, with climatological April highs averaging 60°F providing context for this below-normal outlook. No precipitation is expected, but final 00Z model runs tonight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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