Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for New York City Central Park on April 13, with 74-75°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing a sharp warm-up from weekend 50s. A building upper-level ridge over the Northeast ushers in warm air advection, with 850-hPa temperatures nearing 12-14°C supporting surface highs in the 72-79°F range amid light southerly flow and modest mixing. Differentiation stems from mesoscale uncertainties: potential sea breeze development along the coast could suppress peaks to 72-73°F, while sunnier skies and urban heat island effects favor 76-79°F or higher. Ensemble spreads on GFS and ECMWF highlight cloud cover variability as the key swing factor, with final 12Z model runs expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 13 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 13 avril ?
74-75 °F 30%
76-77°F 22.1%
72-73 °F 19.9%
78-79 °F 15.1%
$41,347 Vol.
$41,347 Vol.
61°F ou moins
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67 °F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73 °F
20%
74-75 °F
30%
76-77°F
22%
78-79 °F
15%
80°F ou plus
12%
74-75 °F 30%
76-77°F 22.1%
72-73 °F 19.9%
78-79 °F 15.1%
$41,347 Vol.
$41,347 Vol.
61°F ou moins
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67 °F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73 °F
20%
74-75 °F
30%
76-77°F
22%
78-79 °F
15%
80°F ou plus
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for New York City Central Park on April 13, with 74-75°F leading at 31.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles showing a sharp warm-up from weekend 50s. A building upper-level ridge over the Northeast ushers in warm air advection, with 850-hPa temperatures nearing 12-14°C supporting surface highs in the 72-79°F range amid light southerly flow and modest mixing. Differentiation stems from mesoscale uncertainties: potential sea breeze development along the coast could suppress peaks to 72-73°F, while sunnier skies and urban heat island effects favor 76-79°F or higher. Ensemble spreads on GFS and ECMWF highlight cloud cover variability as the key swing factor, with final 12Z model runs expected to sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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