Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a cloudy day with southerly winds at 16-24 km/h moderating peak heating around 29°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Persistent cloud cover and sea breeze onshore flow—hallmarks of spring in this coastal Pearl River Delta city—limit insolation and differentiate outcomes, as minor variations in afternoon clearing could tip the high by 1°C. Recent days saw similar highs near 28-29°C under humid conditions warmer than the April climatological average of 26°C, with model ensembles showing tight spread amid low uncertainty for extremes. Hourly observations will clarify resolution as the market nears close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
30°C 18%
27°C 5.4%
$27,976 Vol.
$27,976 Vol.
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 36%
29°C 34%
30°C 18%
27°C 5.4%
$27,976 Vol.
$27,976 Vol.
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
36%
29°C
34%
30°C
18%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 28°C (35.5%) and 29°C (33.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicating a cloudy day with southerly winds at 16-24 km/h moderating peak heating around 29°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport. Persistent cloud cover and sea breeze onshore flow—hallmarks of spring in this coastal Pearl River Delta city—limit insolation and differentiate outcomes, as minor variations in afternoon clearing could tip the high by 1°C. Recent days saw similar highs near 28-29°C under humid conditions warmer than the April climatological average of 26°C, with model ensembles showing tight spread amid low uncertainty for extremes. Hourly observations will clarify resolution as the market nears close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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