Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations from Munich Airport station—the market's resolution source—show temperatures rising from 5°C at dawn under overcast skies to 14°C by mid-afternoon on April 11, with short-range forecasts projecting a late-day peak near 17°C amid decreasing clouds and light easterly winds favoring solar heating. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 57% implied probability to 17°C and 35% to 16°C, as ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster daytime highs in the 16–18°C range. Ensemble spread reflects minor uncertainty in peak timing and residual cloudiness, with real-time hourly updates from DWD expected to sharpen resolution by evening. April climatology typically sees highs around 13–15°C, making this modestly warmer outlook notable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on April 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 11?
17°C 58%
16°C 38%
18°C 9%
19°C <1%
$112,104 Vol.
$112,104 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
38%
17°C
58%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
17°C 58%
16°C 38%
18°C 9%
19°C <1%
$112,104 Vol.
$112,104 Vol.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
38%
17°C
58%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations from Munich Airport station—the market's resolution source—show temperatures rising from 5°C at dawn under overcast skies to 14°C by mid-afternoon on April 11, with short-range forecasts projecting a late-day peak near 17°C amid decreasing clouds and light easterly winds favoring solar heating. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 57% implied probability to 17°C and 35% to 16°C, as ECMWF and GFS ensemble models cluster daytime highs in the 16–18°C range. Ensemble spread reflects minor uncertainty in peak timing and residual cloudiness, with real-time hourly updates from DWD expected to sharpen resolution by evening. April climatology typically sees highs around 13–15°C, making this modestly warmer outlook notable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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