Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 15-16°C amid overcast conditions and possible late sprinkles, yielding a robust 98.8% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in near-unanimous model consensus on mild southerly air flow and typical mid-April highs averaging 13-14°C historically. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' stable upper-level patterns favoring warm advection over Central Europe, with minimal ensemble spread indicating low uncertainty at this range. Realistic challenges include an abrupt northerly cold front or thickened cloud deck reducing solar insolation, though current guidance shows scant support for sub-11°C outcomes; watch DWD's final 12-hour updates and EDDM METAR observations for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 13 avril ?
11°C ou plus 98.8%
10°C <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,120 Vol.
$27,120 Vol.
1°C ou moins
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C ou plus
99%
11°C ou plus 98.8%
10°C <1%
7°C <1%
9°C <1%
$27,120 Vol.
$27,120 Vol.
1°C ou moins
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C ou plus
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 15-16°C amid overcast conditions and possible late sprinkles, yielding a robust 98.8% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders price in near-unanimous model consensus on mild southerly air flow and typical mid-April highs averaging 13-14°C historically. This positioning stems from the past 48 hours' stable upper-level patterns favoring warm advection over Central Europe, with minimal ensemble spread indicating low uncertainty at this range. Realistic challenges include an abrupt northerly cold front or thickened cloud deck reducing solar insolation, though current guidance shows scant support for sub-11°C outcomes; watch DWD's final 12-hour updates and EDDM METAR observations for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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