Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Vol.
$120,716 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Vol.
$120,716 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
47°F or below
$9,123 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,933 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,929 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,775 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$803 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,781 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,731 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,767 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$5,013 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,734 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$89,128 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$120,716Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$120,716Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Austin's highest temperature reaching 66°F or higher on April 11, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with light southeast winds and minimal precipitation risk. This positioning aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which show persistent upper-level ridging promoting subsidence and solar heating, consistent with Central Texas's climatological April average high of 78°F—where maxima below 66°F occur in fewer than 5% of historical cases. Current observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F midday, further solidifying the outlook. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen cold frontal passage or prolonged overcast conditions, absent in satellite imagery or soundings, with final resolution pending evening observations from official NOAA stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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