National Weather Service climate normals place Austin's average high temperature on April 12 at 79.2°F, underpinning the 70% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher as traders align with this seasonal baseline and converging forecast model guidance projecting 77-81°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient daytime heating. Recent developments include a March 2026 spring outlook from local meteorologists anticipating near-80s highs in Central Texas, though weekend severe storm risks noted in FOX 7 Austin updates could introduce cloud cover or showers, boosting odds for 74-75°F (15.5%) if timing overlaps peak afternoon warmth. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles; monitor NWS afternoon forecast refinements for potential shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 76%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 4.0%
70-71°F 1.4%
$14,195 Vol.
$14,195 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
72%
76°F or higher 76%
74-75°F 20%
72-73°F 4.0%
70-71°F 1.4%
$14,195 Vol.
$14,195 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service climate normals place Austin's average high temperature on April 12 at 79.2°F, underpinning the 70% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher as traders align with this seasonal baseline and converging forecast model guidance projecting 77-81°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and efficient daytime heating. Recent developments include a March 2026 spring outlook from local meteorologists anticipating near-80s highs in Central Texas, though weekend severe storm risks noted in FOX 7 Austin updates could introduce cloud cover or showers, boosting odds for 74-75°F (15.5%) if timing overlaps peak afternoon warmth. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles; monitor NWS afternoon forecast refinements for potential shifts before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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