Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a high near 82-84°F in Austin on April 13, driving trader sentiment toward 48% implied probability for 84°F or higher and 25.5% for 82-83°F, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80-81°F. Recent storms and cold fronts through April 8-10 brought scattered rain and gusty winds to Central Texas, suppressing highs to the mid-70s, but subsidence under a building upper-level ridge post-frontal clearing favors adiabatic warming and ample sunshine for peak heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April outlook reinforces above-normal temperature odds amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key uncertainties include potential lingering clouds or isolated showers capping intensities; watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution via official Austin Bergstrom observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 45%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 8%
78-79°F 2.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
45%
84°F or higher 45%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 8%
78-79°F 2.7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 avr. 2026
65°F or below
$611 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$407 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$406 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$391 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,101 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$545 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$579 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$621 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$285 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$403 Vol.
26%
84°F or higher
$477 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a high near 82-84°F in Austin on April 13, driving trader sentiment toward 48% implied probability for 84°F or higher and 25.5% for 82-83°F, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80-81°F. Recent storms and cold fronts through April 8-10 brought scattered rain and gusty winds to Central Texas, suppressing highs to the mid-70s, but subsidence under a building upper-level ridge post-frontal clearing favors adiabatic warming and ample sunshine for peak heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April outlook reinforces above-normal temperature odds amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key uncertainties include potential lingering clouds or isolated showers capping intensities; watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution via official Austin Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$5,826Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a high near 82-84°F in Austin on April 13, driving trader sentiment toward 48% implied probability for 84°F or higher and 25.5% for 82-83°F, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80-81°F. Recent storms and cold fronts through April 8-10 brought scattered rain and gusty winds to Central Texas, suppressing highs to the mid-70s, but subsidence under a building upper-level ridge post-frontal clearing favors adiabatic warming and ample sunshine for peak heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April outlook reinforces above-normal temperature odds amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key uncertainties include potential lingering clouds or isolated showers capping intensities; watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution via official Austin Bergstrom observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,826Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF point to a high near 82-84°F in Austin on April 13, driving trader sentiment toward 48% implied probability for 84°F or higher and 25.5% for 82-83°F, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80-81°F. Recent storms and cold fronts through April 8-10 brought scattered rain and gusty winds to Central Texas, suppressing highs to the mid-70s, but subsidence under a building upper-level ridge post-frontal clearing favors adiabatic warming and ample sunshine for peak heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center April outlook reinforces above-normal temperature odds amid neutral ENSO conditions. Key uncertainties include potential lingering clouds or isolated showers capping intensities; watch 12Z model runs and NWS updates Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution via official Austin Bergstrom observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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