Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 10 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 10 avril ?
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
10 avr. 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 Vol.
$140,932 Vol.
10 avr. 2026
15°C ou moins
$4,974 Vol.
Non
16°C
$4,859 Vol.
Non
17°C
$10,239 Vol.
Non
18°C
$5,559 Vol.
Non
19°C
$9,628 Vol.
Non
20°C
$20,683 Vol.
Non
21°C
$27,570 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$17,646 Vol.
Non
23°C
$14,687 Vol.
Non
24°C
$15,098 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$9,989 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$140,932Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$140,932Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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