MetService's latest evening update on April 11 forecasts a high of 19°C for Wellington on April 13, with a few morning showers and strong westerlies turning northerly, anchoring trader consensus around 18–20°C at 27–28.5% implied probabilities each. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on a mild frontal passage, where northerly advection could boost afternoon peaks toward 20°C if showers clear early, versus persistent low cloud and rain capping at 18°C. Winds nearing gale force add variability in mixing cooler marine air, while April climatology averages 17°C highlight the setup's warmth potential. Sunday morning's forecast refresh from MetService and NIWA will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
19°C 30%
20°C 28%
18°C 27%
21°C 10.9%
$14,703 Vol.
$14,703 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
28%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
3%
19°C 30%
20°C 28%
18°C 27%
21°C 10.9%
$14,703 Vol.
$14,703 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
28%
21°C
11%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest evening update on April 11 forecasts a high of 19°C for Wellington on April 13, with a few morning showers and strong westerlies turning northerly, anchoring trader consensus around 18–20°C at 27–28.5% implied probabilities each. This tight clustering reflects model agreement on a mild frontal passage, where northerly advection could boost afternoon peaks toward 20°C if showers clear early, versus persistent low cloud and rain capping at 18°C. Winds nearing gale force add variability in mixing cooler marine air, while April climatology averages 17°C highlight the setup's warmth potential. Sunday morning's forecast refresh from MetService and NIWA will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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