Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, April 11, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (21.5%), as NiMet's April 8 bulletin and international sites like Weather.com project partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33°C (91°F). Differentiating factors include sea breeze moderation from the Atlantic, which caps peaks via evaporative cooling amid high humidity (70-80%), versus urban heat island effects amplifying inland stations by 1-2°C. Early rainy season onset introduces convective cloud variability, potentially suppressing or allowing 35°C spikes during 2-4 p.m. peak heating; historical April averages hover at 32°C, with real-time NiMet observations key for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Lagos le 11 avril ?
Température la plus élevée à Lagos le 11 avril ?
34°C 40%
32°C 20%
35°C 19%
36°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
31°C
<1%
32°C
20%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C
19%
36°C
1%
37°C ou plus
1%
34°C 40%
32°C 20%
35°C 19%
36°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
31°C
$2,958 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$49 Vol.
20%
33°C
$10 Vol.
37%
34°C
$25 Vol.
24%
35°C
$180 Vol.
19%
36°C
$174 Vol.
1%
37°C ou plus
$104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, April 11, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (21.5%), as NiMet's April 8 bulletin and international sites like Weather.com project partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33°C (91°F). Differentiating factors include sea breeze moderation from the Atlantic, which caps peaks via evaporative cooling amid high humidity (70-80%), versus urban heat island effects amplifying inland stations by 1-2°C. Early rainy season onset introduces convective cloud variability, potentially suppressing or allowing 35°C spikes during 2-4 p.m. peak heating; historical April averages hover at 32°C, with real-time NiMet observations key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$7,121Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, April 11, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (21.5%), as NiMet's April 8 bulletin and international sites like Weather.com project partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33°C (91°F). Differentiating factors include sea breeze moderation from the Atlantic, which caps peaks via evaporative cooling amid high humidity (70-80%), versus urban heat island effects amplifying inland stations by 1-2°C. Early rainy season onset introduces convective cloud variability, potentially suppressing or allowing 35°C spikes during 2-4 p.m. peak heating; historical April averages hover at 32°C, with real-time NiMet observations key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,121Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, April 11, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability, closely trailed by 34°C (30.5%) and 35°C (21.5%), as NiMet's April 8 bulletin and international sites like Weather.com project partly cloudy conditions and highs near 33°C (91°F). Differentiating factors include sea breeze moderation from the Atlantic, which caps peaks via evaporative cooling amid high humidity (70-80%), versus urban heat island effects amplifying inland stations by 1-2°C. Early rainy season onset introduces convective cloud variability, potentially suppressing or allowing 35°C spikes during 2-4 p.m. peak heating; historical April averages hover at 32°C, with real-time NiMet observations key for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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