Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 11, 2026, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from Wunderground. Thick cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon showers—per AccuWeather guidance—limit solar heating and suppress temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs typically range 20–24°C amid frontal systems. Official Hong Kong Observatory bulletins forecast up to 24°C with rain, but model ensembles favor the lower end. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day sunbreak boosting peaks by 1–2°C, though persistent overcast conditions make this improbable as the day progresses toward resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$78,268 Vol.
$78,268 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$78,268 Vol.
$78,268 Vol.
11 avr. 2026
22°C
$12,780 Vol.
100%
23°C
$8,968 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,672 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,133 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,158 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,302 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,985 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,531 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 11, 2026, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from Wunderground. Thick cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon showers—per AccuWeather guidance—limit solar heating and suppress temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs typically range 20–24°C amid frontal systems. Official Hong Kong Observatory bulletins forecast up to 24°C with rain, but model ensembles favor the lower end. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day sunbreak boosting peaks by 1–2°C, though persistent overcast conditions make this improbable as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$78,268Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 11, 2026, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from Wunderground. Thick cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon showers—per AccuWeather guidance—limit solar heating and suppress temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs typically range 20–24°C amid frontal systems. Official Hong Kong Observatory bulletins forecast up to 24°C with rain, but model ensembles favor the lower end. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day sunbreak boosting peaks by 1–2°C, though persistent overcast conditions make this improbable as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,268Date de fin
11 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high of 22°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 11, 2026, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for this outcome and reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data from Wunderground. Thick cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon showers—per AccuWeather guidance—limit solar heating and suppress temperatures, consistent with early April climatology where highs typically range 20–24°C amid frontal systems. Official Hong Kong Observatory bulletins forecast up to 24°C with rain, but model ensembles favor the lower end. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day sunbreak boosting peaks by 1–2°C, though persistent overcast conditions make this improbable as the day progresses toward resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes