Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Wuhan on April 12 at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 24°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project overcast skies and light winds capping peak temperatures amid spring warming. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 22–24°C over the past week, with cloudy conditions and passing showers suppressing solar heating, while climatological April averages hover around 22°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing—favoring 24°C—or persistent cloud cover pushing toward 22–23°C; new hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official Wuhan Tianhe Airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 42%
24°C 33%
22°C 17%
25°C 8%
$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
17%
23°C
42%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
4%
23°C 42%
24°C 33%
22°C 17%
25°C 8%
$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
16°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,003 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,316 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,205 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,511 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,233 Vol.
17%
23°C
$1,036 Vol.
42%
24°C
$1,430 Vol.
33%
25°C
$1,338 Vol.
8%
26°C or higher
$1,786 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Wuhan on April 12 at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 24°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project overcast skies and light winds capping peak temperatures amid spring warming. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 22–24°C over the past week, with cloudy conditions and passing showers suppressing solar heating, while climatological April averages hover around 22°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing—favoring 24°C—or persistent cloud cover pushing toward 22–23°C; new hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official Wuhan Tianhe Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$17,587Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Wuhan on April 12 at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 24°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project overcast skies and light winds capping peak temperatures amid spring warming. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 22–24°C over the past week, with cloudy conditions and passing showers suppressing solar heating, while climatological April averages hover around 22°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing—favoring 24°C—or persistent cloud cover pushing toward 22–23°C; new hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official Wuhan Tianhe Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,587Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 23°C high in Wuhan on April 12 at 39.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 24°C at 34.5%, driven by the latest short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project overcast skies and light winds capping peak temperatures amid spring warming. Recent observations show highs fluctuating between 22–24°C over the past week, with cloudy conditions and passing showers suppressing solar heating, while climatological April averages hover around 22°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing—favoring 24°C—or persistent cloud cover pushing toward 22–23°C; new hourly guidance expected overnight could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official Wuhan Tianhe Airport measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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