Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits probabilities among 15°C (28.5%), 16°C (27.5%), and 17°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian Aeronautica Militare models for Milan tomorrow. A low-pressure system advancing from the Atlantic is delivering increased cloud cover and light showers to Lombardy, capping solar insolation and surface heating after recent warmer days with highs near 20–22°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include timing of frontal passage—earlier clearing favors 17°C+ via greater insolation, while persistent overcast limits peaks to 14–15°C—against mid-April climatological averages of 17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Updated 12Z model runs expected this afternoon may sharpen guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C or higher 26%
14°C 23%
$11,909 Vol.
$11,909 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
23%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
26%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C or higher 26%
14°C 23%
$11,909 Vol.
$11,909 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
7°C or below
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,056 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$921 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,495 Vol.
1%
11°C
$934 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$651 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,490 Vol.
3%
14°C
$921 Vol.
23%
15°C
$601 Vol.
27%
16°C
$795 Vol.
27%
17°C or higher
$1,970 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits probabilities among 15°C (28.5%), 16°C (27.5%), and 17°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian Aeronautica Militare models for Milan tomorrow. A low-pressure system advancing from the Atlantic is delivering increased cloud cover and light showers to Lombardy, capping solar insolation and surface heating after recent warmer days with highs near 20–22°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include timing of frontal passage—earlier clearing favors 17°C+ via greater insolation, while persistent overcast limits peaks to 14–15°C—against mid-April climatological averages of 17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Updated 12Z model runs expected this afternoon may sharpen guidance before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$11,909Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits probabilities among 15°C (28.5%), 16°C (27.5%), and 17°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian Aeronautica Militare models for Milan tomorrow. A low-pressure system advancing from the Atlantic is delivering increased cloud cover and light showers to Lombardy, capping solar insolation and surface heating after recent warmer days with highs near 20–22°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include timing of frontal passage—earlier clearing favors 17°C+ via greater insolation, while persistent overcast limits peaks to 14–15°C—against mid-April climatological averages of 17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Updated 12Z model runs expected this afternoon may sharpen guidance before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,909Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits probabilities among 15°C (28.5%), 16°C (27.5%), and 17°C or higher (25.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian Aeronautica Militare models for Milan tomorrow. A low-pressure system advancing from the Atlantic is delivering increased cloud cover and light showers to Lombardy, capping solar insolation and surface heating after recent warmer days with highs near 20–22°C earlier this week. Key differentiators include timing of frontal passage—earlier clearing favors 17°C+ via greater insolation, while persistent overcast limits peaks to 14–15°C—against mid-April climatological averages of 17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Updated 12Z model runs expected this afternoon may sharpen guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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