Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 14?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 14?
15°C or higher 50%
12°C 33%
14°C 29%
13°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
5°C or below
3%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
24%
11°C
24%
12°C
33%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C or higher
30%
15°C or higher 50%
12°C 33%
14°C 29%
13°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
6°C
$3 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
3%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
24%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C or higher
$30 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$32Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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