Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 12?
12°C 36%
11°C 33%
10°C 11%
13°C 4.8%
$28,932 Vol.
$28,932 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
11%
11°C
39%
12°C
36%
13°C
5%
14°C or higher
1%
12°C 36%
11°C 33%
10°C 11%
13°C 4.8%
$28,932 Vol.
$28,932 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
4°C or below
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$4,700 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$4,678 Vol.
2%
9°C
$3,684 Vol.
3%
10°C
$1,766 Vol.
11%
11°C
$1,459 Vol.
39%
12°C
$1,986 Vol.
36%
13°C
$1,934 Vol.
5%
14°C or higher
$1,844 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$28,932Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,932Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 11°C (41.5%) over 12°C (33.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering daytime highs around 11°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light easterly winds (3-5 m/s) that enhance solar heating. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's point forecast caps at 9°C near 15:00-17:00 local time at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport—the market's resolution station—reflecting conservative cloud cover assumptions, while global models project slightly stronger boundary layer mixing for potential 12°C if skies remain clearer than expected. This tight split underscores model spread on afternoon insolation and subtle temperature advection, with real-time observations through mid-afternoon pivotal; historical mid-April highs average 7-9°C but recent dry conditions support above-normal warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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